The new year brings about the official beginning of cinema awards shows. With the awards season coming to a finale with the Oscars on February 22nd, there are many ceremonies to take place between now and then. First on the list is the Golden Globes, voted on by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, which is compiled by film critics and journalists from, as the name suggests, outside the United States. The nominations have been announced and, without further ado, here are the Rebellion’s predictions:
BEST MOTION PICTURE, DRAMA
Boyhood
Foxcatcher
Imitation Game
Selma
The Theory Of Everything
The category of Best Motion Picture, Drama will most likely come down to a race between Boyhood and Imitation Game. Selma, The Theory of Everything, and Foxcatcher are all great, but have also been questioned for historical accuracy (Mark Schultz’s recent negative tirades about Foxcatcher certainly hurt the film’s chances). Furthermore, those movies won’t be as relatable as The Imitation Game, perhaps the most important story regarding World War II. However, since critics worldwide have been raving about Boyhood all year, it’s hard to predict any other winner.
BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE, DRAMA
Eddie Redmayne (The Theory of Everything)
Steve Carrell (Foxcatcher)
Benedict Cumberbatch (The Imitation Game)
David Oyelowo (Selma)
Jake Gyllenhall (Nightcrawler)
Eddie Redmayne, Steve Carrell, and Benedict Cumberbatch have been receiving continuous Oscar buzz since the release of their respective films. Steve Carrell was, in fact, a frontrunner for the Oscars last year before Foxcatcher’s release was pushed. Redmayne and Cumberbatch will likely be duking it out for this acting prize, and I’m leaning more towards Benedict Cumberbatch for a couple of reasons. Firstly, Cumberbatch played Redmayne’s role of Stephen Hawking in a BAFTA nominee, Hawking, a few years back. More importantly, if there is ever a more important man than Stephen Hawking, it might just be Alan Turing. Turing’s story and impact on World War II is incredible, and with a voting committee comprised of some European press, the subject of The Imitation Game is a huge local issue. This prediction of course takes nothing away from either player, as both performances are impeccable, but, unfortunately, awards shows are incredibly political.
BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE, DRAMA
Julianne Moore (Still Alice)
Reese Witherspoon (Wild)
Rosamund Pike (Gone Girl)
Felicity Jones (The Theory Of Everything)
Jennifer Aniston (Cake)
A race that has taken some interesting turns is that of Best Actress. For the Globes, it seems that the Oscar favorite will probably take home the hardware for what is said to be an incredibly daring and difficult role on Julianne Moore’s part, as she plays a professor with early onset Alzheimer’s. An already adored actress, Moore’s performance has a bit more depth than her fellow nominees, which should hand her the win.
BEST MOTION PICTURE, MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Into The Woods
Birdman
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Pride
St. Vincent
The race here is quite obviously between Birdman and The Grand Budapest Hotel, as both films have reaped guild nominations and festival awards. The Golden Globes are sort of known for picking the (sometimes) unexpected winners. Similar to The Imitation Game, The Grand Budapest Hotel is perhaps more relatable than its opponents. The reason it can pull off a win here is because it is a weaker category than the Drama category; that being said, that has smashed the box office on a global scale, so the combination of a slightly easier category and monumental success is very favorable to the film. Wes Anderson’s highest grossing film by a wide margin, The Grand Budapest Hotel is definitely on the upset alert for this Sunday’s show.
BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE, MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Michael Keaton (Birdman)
Bill Murray (St. Vincent)
Ralph Fiennes (The Grand Budapest Hotel)
Joaquin Phoenix (Inherent Vice)
Christoph Waltz (Big Eyes)
The Hollywood Foreign Press nominates a total of 10 actors in a leading role between two categories every year. That being said, it’s pretty hard for the HFPA to not give an award to the Oscar frontrunner, who many pundits believe to be Michael Keaton at this point in the race. What makes Keaton’s character in Birdman so attractive to voters is how ironic it is. The story is about a washed-up superhero actor trying to make a comeback, which is basically the story of Michael Keaton taking this very role. In fact, the last time a big comeback role generated buzz, the HFPA gave that man the Golden Globe win. That man was Mickey Rourke, who won a Globe for his role in The Wrestler. Keaton is even better in Birdman, and leaves reason to be believe he will snag the Globe himself.
BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE, MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Julianne Moore (Map to The Stars)
Amy Adams (Big Eyes)
Emily Blunt (Into the Woods)
Helen Mirren (Hundred Foot Journey)
Quvenzhané Wallis (Annie)
Even though Moore’s part in Map to the Stars was an Oscar frontrunner, there is no way she scores two Globes for Actress in a Leading Role in the same year. That’s a feat that even Meryl couldn’t pull off. Now, it’s a very weak category, and next would be Amy Adams, but she just won for American Hustle last year. Only one woman (Nicole Kidman) has won back to back Globes, and they were not in the same category. Not everyone can be Meryl and win three Globes in six years, but it’s evident that the Globes love to reward the older, regal women of Hollywood. This year, it’s such a weak category that a long shot like Helen Mirren could easily upset the likes of Emily Blunt or Amy Adams.
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
The Lego Movie
The Boxtrolls
How to Train Your Dragon 2
Big Hero 6
The Book of Life
The Lego Movie has been the most popular animated film out of the nominees, and it seems likely that it will come out on top in a fairly uncrowded category.
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Ida
Leviathan
Tangerines
Force Majeure
Gett: The Trial of Viviane Amsalem
Out of all of the films in this category, Leviathan has been receiving the most buzz. Ida has stirred up some conversation as well, as both are heavy, deep, and emotional pieces of cinema.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE
Jessica Chastain (A Most Violent Year)
Keira Knightley (The Imitation Game)
Patricia Arquette (Boyhood)
Emma Stone (Birdman)
Meryl Streep (Into The Woods)
Patricia Arquette plays Mason’s caring mother in Boyhood, and what will give her the win is that her character grows just as much, if not more than, the main character. Chastain, Knightley, Stone, and even Streep are all really good but nothing incredibly impressive. Arquette isn’t quite astonishing herself, but her role has much more depth than the others, not to mention that her and Ethan Hawke are the two best parts of Boyhood.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE
Ethan Hawke (Boyhood)
Edward Norton (Birdman)
Robert Duvall (The Judge)
J.K. Simmons (Whiplash)
Mark Ruffalo (Foxcatcher)
The race here has been leaning Simmons’ way ever since Whiplash premiered at Sundance. The next two would likely be Ruffalo and Hawke, but Simmons will likely still come out on top. His part is a true villain to the common eye, but his pupil in the film abjectly strives to please him. The success of the film once again comes into play here, which suggests that Whiplash deserves at least some recognition, especially with many pundits stating that Simmons steals every scene he is in.
BEST DIRECTOR FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Ava Duvernay (Selma)
Richard Linklater (Boyhood)
David Fincher (Gone Girl)
Alejandro González Iñárritu (Birdman)
Wes Anderson (The Grand Budapest Hotel)
The feat of completing a film such as Boyhood has not gone unnoticed. Has not, and will not. The HFPA may noy be given the same respect as the Academy, but they can recognize mastery in a craft when it is there. It’s tough because this could be a close race; Ava Duvernay is the first African American woman to be nominated, maybe she will capitalize on this. And although everyone loved Anderson’s Budapest Hotel, perhaps Iñárritu will get a little love here for a positively reviewed Birdman. Tough decisions, no doubt, but Linklater will likely win.
BEST SCREENPLAY FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Wes Anderson (The Grand Budapest Hotel)
Alejandro González Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Armando Bo (Birdman)
Gillian Flynn (Gone Girl)
Graham Moore (The Imitation Game)
Richard Linklater (Boyhood)
The Golden Globes screenplay category is difficult to predict because unlike the Oscars, the Golden Globes do not split the nominations into two categories (Original and Adapted screenplays). The screenplay award for the Globes has typically, in recent years, gone to a film that isn’t necessarily sweeping, but the HFPA wants to give some credit to. If Budpest is winning Picture, the film will probably win for the screenplay as well. Birdman is definitely a strong possibility, as is Graham Moore for The Imitation Game.
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Alexandre Desplat (The Imitation Game)
Johann Johannsson (The Theory Of Everything)
Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross (Gone Girl)
Antonio Sanchez (Birdman)
Hans Zimmer (Interstellar)
The HFPA and The Academy seem to have differing opinions on original score; last year’s Golden Globe champion (Alex Ebert for All Is Lost) wasn’t even nominated for an Oscar. Hans Zimmer seems to be on the brink of scoring an Oscar nom this year, and Hans is very popular with the HFPA. Additionally, Zimmer’s score on Interstellar has gotten a lot of publicity dealing with the creation of his sound. This publicity could help him out big time, and most people agree that his integration of organs in his score is something new for him. A big contender is also Alexandre Desplat for The Imitation Game.
BEST ORIGINAL SONG FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Big Eyes
Selma
Noah
Annie
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part I
The songs here aren’t really from big movies, with the exception of Selma. In that case, Selma will probably win here due to the more serious subject matter and importance of the overall production. It’s biggest rival will be Lorde’s “Yellow Flicker Beat” from The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part I due to its constant airplay on the radio and Lorde’s huge popularity.
BEST TV SERIES, DRAMA
Downton Abbey
The Affair
Games Of Thrones
The Good Wife
House Of Cards
Many would be surprised to hear that Game of Thrones has never won a Golden Globe. With Downton Abbey and even The Good Wife on a fairly relative decline, it seems that HBO’s highest rated show of all time has a chance at its first Globe win; However, despite its popularity, the likelihood of a win for Game Of Thrones is still slim due to its lack of any acting nominations. This hints that the HFPA isn’t as keen on Game of Thrones as everyone might have thought, and House of Cards received both acting nominations. House of Cards will come out on top here.
BEST ACTOR IN A TV SERIES, DRAMA
Kevin Spacey (House of Cards)
Liev Schreiber (Ray Donovan)
James Spader (The Blacklist)
Dominic West (the Affair)
Clive Owen (The Knick)
Bryan Cranston’s gone? So who is left that is consistently a favorite for his role as Frank Underwood? Kevin Spacey is sure to take home the gold this Sunday, as his universal praise in the role have been ongoing. Clive Owen poses a threat in Steven Soderbergh’s new show, The Knick, as a coked up surgeon in the early 1900s, but Spacey will still probably get the job done.
BEST ACTRESS IN A TV SERIES, DRAMA
Viola Davis (How to Get Away With Murder)
Claire Danes (Homeland)
Juliana Marguiles (The Good Wife)
Ruth Wilson (The Affair)
Robin Wright (House of Cards)
Last year’s winner, Robin Wright, is a strong contender to take home the trophy this year as well. There is very tight race between Viola Davis and Robin Wright, and both characters are universally adored. Viola Davis’ character seems to have been more interesting, and with Robin Wright having won last year, Viola Davis will likely win on her first try with her hit new show.
BEST TV SERIES, MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Orange Is The New Black
Silicon Valley
Transparent
Girls
Jane The Virgin
Orange Is The New Black certainly has its fans. But the foreign journalists don’t have the same mindset as the general public. Transparent has gotten the highest critical acclaim, so despite Orange’s popularity, Transparent is the most probable choice to take home the award.
BEST ACTOR IN A TV SERIES, MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Jeffrey Tambor (Transparent)
Don Cheadle (House of Lies)
William H. Macy (Shameless)
Ricky Gervais (Derek)
Louie C.K. (Louie)
Only Don Cheadle was nominated in this category last year. New faces means a tight race, but it will likely end up in Tambor’s favor. William H. Macy’s category fraud (Shameless is a drama. No question) will likely hurt his chances. Tambor played an important character in an important series about transgender issues, and he will likely be rewarded over the second best in this category, Louie C.K.
BEST ACTRESS IN A TV SERIES, MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Veep)
Edie Falco (Nurse Jackie)
Gina Rodriguez (Jean the Virgin)
Lena Dunham (Girls)
Taylor Schilling (Orange Is the New Black)
Dreyfus has won three Emmys in a row. But how many Golden Globes? Zero. Veep is at the point where it demands some recognition from the Globes, specifically Julia Louis-Dreyfus. Edie Falco or Lena Dunham don’t have enough power to take stop Dreyfus (and Dunham’s bad press regarding her controversial memoir certainly does not help her), so Dreyfus may finally find success at the Golden Globes this year.
BEST TV MOVIE OR MINI-SERIES
Olive Kitteridge
Fargo
The Missing
True Detective
The Normal Heart
There is a little question as to why True Dectective is now considered a mini-series due to its completely different second season (It was not considered a mini-series at the Emmys). The show is loved by viewers almost universially, so although Fargo and The Normal Heart stand as strong competitors, but True Detective will prevail.
BEST ACTOR IN A MINI-SERIES OR TV MOVIE
Martin Freeman (Fargo)
Matthew McConaughey (True Detective)
Woody Harrelson (True Detective)
Billy Bob Thornton (Fargo)
Mark Ruffalo (The Normal Heart)
No Bryan Cranston to overcome here. If Matthew McConaughey was a strong competitor against Bryan Cranston for the Emmy, then there is no doubt in my mind that he will walk home away with this award. I think Mark Ruffalo poses a serious threat in one of his best roles, and perhaps his shot is even stronger should voters split between Fargo actors and True Detective actors (both shows have received immense praise). However, McConaughey truly had an amazing year all around last year, and his part in True Detective was not only the most entertaining of the nominees, but also one of the most complex ones.
BEST ACTRESS IN A MINI-SERIES OR TV MOVIE
Jessica Lange (American Horror Story: Freak Show)
Maggie Gyllenhaal (The Honorable Woman)
Frances McDormand (Olive Kitteridge)
Allison Tolman (Fargo)
Frances O’Connor (The Missing)
Jessica Lange has 14 nominations and 3 wins at the Globes. I think her part was almost as good if not better than that in Murder House (AHS’s first season), but it needs to in order to beat Frances McDormand. Olive Kitteridge is a fairly small project, but Frances McDormand’s name has been tossed around as a heavy favorite in this category for a while now.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A MINI-SERIES OR TV MOVIE
Matt Bomer (The Normal Heart)
Colin Hanks (Fargo)
Alan Cumming (The Good Wife)
Jon Voight (Ray Donovan)
Bill Murray (Olive Kitteridge)
This might be the hardest category to pick. It’s hard to say whether Fargo or The Normal Heart will get shut out, but one of them has to. But since Fargo received so much at the Emmy’s, the HFPA will show The Normal Heart at least a little love and give Matthew Bomer the prize here, although Colin Hanks is a very close second.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A MINI-SERIES OR TV MOVIE
Kathy Bates (American Horror Story: Freak Show)
Uzo Aduba (Orange is the New Black)
Joanne Froggatt (Downton Abbey)
Allison Janney (Mom)
Michelle Monaghan (True Detective)
“Crazy Eyes” is one of those hilarious roles that is never forgotten — almost like Michael Scott from The Office. This award is almost certainly going towards the show-stealing Uzo Aduba for her hilarious and rambunctious character who also has a tender side.
If there is anything that is difficult to predict, it’s the Golden Globes. In fact, Indiewire refers to them as “The Oscars’ drunken, unpredictable cousin”. Anyways, the show will air at 8PM this Sunday night, so be sure to tune in to see the awards, whether you like movies, TV, or both.